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2021-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +1 (123-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 40 8-20 3-10 9-9 4 11 0 1 28 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 39 13-19 4-6 3-4 15 2 0 0 33 - -
Chris Duarte * 32 9-15 6-9 3-3 5 1 1 0 27 - -
Justin Holiday * 25 4-10 1-7 2-2 7 4 0 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 25 3-6 1-3 2-4 7 1 0 4 9 - -
Torrey Craig 27 1-4 1-4 2-2 8 3 0 1 5 - -
Jeremy Lamb 24 1-9 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 7 1 2 6 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 35 10-22 2-4 5-8 5 3 1 0 27 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 34 5-17 2-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 4-8 1-4 4-4 8 4 3 1 13 - -
Mason Plumlee * 32 4-10 0-0 0-3 10 5 0 1 8 - -
LaMelo Ball * 28 11-23 7-9 2-2 9 7 2 0 31 - -
Cody Martin 23 4-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 10 - -
Ish Smith 21 7-14 0-0 0-2 0 5 1 1 14 - -
P.J. Washington 19 1-7 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 1 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -

* = starter