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2021-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 66.4% 33.6% -3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 5-21 2-8 9-9 10 10 3 0 21 - -
Draymond Green * 29 2-5 0-0 2-4 8 6 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Poole * 25 8-18 4-11 0-1 2 3 1 0 20 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 25 5-10 2-5 0-0 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 15 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Damion Lee 29 4-10 1-5 6-6 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 25 6-7 1-1 2-2 11 4 1 0 15 - -
Andre Iguodala 22 4-7 2-5 2-2 1 2 0 1 12 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 12 2-3 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 0 5 - -
Moses Moody 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 15-26 1-5 2-7 11 2 1 2 33 - -
LeBron James * 36 13-23 5-11 3-6 11 5 1 1 34 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 4-13 0-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore * 30 3-9 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 26 3-9 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 5 2 0 3 - -
Malik Monk 18 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Avery Bradley 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter