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2021-10-19

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +23 (127-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Harris * 30 3-9 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
James Harden * 30 6-16 4-8 4-4 8 8 1 2 20 - -
Kevin Durant * 30 13-25 3-7 3-6 11 4 0 2 32 - -
Nic Claxton * 24 6-9 0-0 0-3 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Blake Griffin * 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Patty Mills 29 7-11 7-7 0-0 2 2 1 1 21 - -
James Johnson 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 1 1 - -
Jevon Carter 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge 15 0-2 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 1 1 - -
Paul Millsap 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Bruce Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Cam Thomas 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 30 8-17 1-4 3-4 9 3 1 0 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 12-25 1-4 7-9 14 7 1 2 32 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 3-9 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 3 8 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 3-10 3-10 1-1 4 6 2 0 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 17 5-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Pat Connaughton 29 8-13 4-9 0-0 3 2 1 1 20 - -
Jordan Nwora 26 6-13 3-6 0-0 6 1 1 1 15 - -
George Hill 23 0-3 0-2 1-2 5 3 0 1 1 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Justin Robinson 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Georgios Kalaitzakis 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter