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2021-05-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (113-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 12-18 1-2 0-0 16 5 3 0 25 - -
Oshae Brissett * 36 10-16 5-8 6-9 10 3 0 0 31 - -
Doug McDermott * 32 8-15 4-8 0-0 1 2 1 1 20 - -
Justin Holiday * 30 2-9 1-6 2-3 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Caris LeVert * 21 4-8 1-2 4-4 1 6 2 0 13 - -
T.J. McConnell 39 6-10 0-2 0-0 5 17 2 1 12 - -
Kelan Martin 17 4-11 3-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 13 - -
JaKarr Sampson 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 45 8-22 5-13 6-6 4 5 2 1 27 - -
Stanley Johnson * 43 6-18 3-12 9-11 5 7 2 0 24 - -
DeAndre' Bembry * 42 9-22 1-5 4-4 5 4 3 0 23 - -
Freddie Gillespie * 41 3-9 0-0 1-4 10 1 0 1 7 - -
Khem Birch * 41 8-15 0-3 2-2 14 4 1 0 18 - -
Aron Baynes 26 5-11 3-5 1-2 10 0 0 2 14 - -

* = starter