Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +16 (132-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 16 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 15 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 32 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 31 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 20 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 21 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. Leaf | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter