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2021-05-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Romeo Langford * 34 5-11 0-1 4-6 4 1 1 0 14 - -
Luke Kornet * 26 2-7 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 3 4 - -
Grant Williams * 25 5-8 2-2 1-1 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Payton Pritchard * 23 2-10 2-8 0-0 6 6 0 0 6 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 26 4-13 2-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Jabari Parker 26 6-10 1-3 5-6 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Tremont Waters 25 7-13 3-8 0-0 5 5 2 0 17 - -
Aaron Nesmith 19 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 3 3 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 5-17 2-5 8-10 7 7 1 1 20 - -
Reggie Bullock * 34 6-9 4-7 0-0 3 2 1 1 16 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 7-12 2-4 6-8 4 2 0 0 22 - -
Nerlens Noel * 32 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 3 2 - -
Elfrid Payton * 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Alec Burks 25 6-10 5-7 0-0 6 0 1 0 17 - -
Derrick Rose 23 3-9 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Immanuel Quickley 14 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Obi Toppin 10 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Ntilikina 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter