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2021-05-17

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (98-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 30 5-12 0-3 4-6 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 5-11 2-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 0 10 - -
LeBron James * 27 11-22 2-5 1-2 1 6 3 0 25 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 6-11 0-0 1-3 13 0 2 2 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Marc Gasol 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 7 4 1 2 3 - -
Alex Caruso 19 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 1 9 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 13 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 10 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 2 0 8 - -
Jared Dudley 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 36 5-15 2-8 2-2 4 5 1 0 14 - -
Naji Marshall * 35 6-13 4-6 2-2 6 7 1 0 18 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 29 8-11 0-0 3-5 13 1 0 2 19 - -
James Johnson * 25 4-11 0-2 0-3 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 22 5-9 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 2 13 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 25 4-6 1-2 3-3 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 20 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 10 - -
Didi Louzada 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
James Nunnally 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter