Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (136-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 20 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 22 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 16 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter