Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -13 (107-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Achiuwa * | 41 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 37 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 35 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 7-21 | 4-15 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 24 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - |
* = starter