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2021-05-17

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mamadi Diakite * 38 4-11 0-1 5-8 7 1 3 1 13 - -
Jeff Teague * 33 5-11 3-3 10-12 3 7 3 1 23 - -
Sam Merrill * 27 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 - -
Pat Connaughton * 25 5-10 2-7 3-3 1 0 2 0 15 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo * 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 35 14-23 4-8 2-4 14 0 1 2 34 - -
Justin Jackson 32 3-9 2-6 1-2 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Elijah Bryant 31 6-13 1-5 3-3 6 3 0 1 16 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 31 6-13 4-9 3-4 5 5 1 1 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 29 4-8 0-1 3-3 7 1 1 2 11 - -
Garrett Temple * 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Thaddeus Young * 25 8-15 0-1 4-6 7 3 0 3 20 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 24 6-11 2-4 3-4 5 1 0 0 17 - -
Javonte Green 23 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 4 1 6 - -
Devon Dotson 21 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 11 - -
Denzel Valentine 20 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 8 - -
Cristiano Felicio 17 2-5 0-1 1-2 8 0 1 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 16 5-6 4-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 14 - -

* = starter