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2021-05-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (25.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% -
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +29 (124-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Lamb * 42 2-6 0-4 3-4 4 4 2 0 7 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 36 4-15 2-9 0-1 6 4 2 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 23 3-11 2-5 8-8 6 4 1 1 16 - -
D.J. Augustin * 22 5-11 4-10 4-4 4 5 1 0 18 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 21 3-7 1-2 0-2 3 5 0 1 7 - -
Armoni Brooks 34 6-19 6-18 0-0 4 0 2 0 18 - -
Cameron Reynolds 31 3-14 3-12 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Cameron Oliver 28 5-9 0-3 0-1 12 1 0 3 10 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Solomon Hill * 35 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 4 2 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 32 10-13 0-0 1-3 15 3 2 2 21 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 24 4-11 0-3 6-8 2 1 0 1 14 - -
John Collins * 16 5-7 1-1 4-4 4 0 0 1 15 - -
Trae Young * 16 3-9 1-3 3-4 3 9 2 0 10 - -
Skylar Mays 27 7-11 2-5 0-0 4 7 0 2 16 - -
Nathan Knight 26 6-9 1-3 0-2 10 0 0 2 13 - -
Tony Snell 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 21 4-10 0-0 2-2 9 1 2 0 10 - -
Lou Williams 16 4-6 0-0 3-3 2 6 0 0 11 - -

* = starter