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2021-05-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - ✓
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.8 ✗ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - ✓
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (115-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 9-18 1-4 9-10 10 5 2 0 28 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 5-8 3-6 0-0 0 2 2 0 13 - -
LeBron James * 28 11-22 1-4 1-2 7 8 0 0 24 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 4-9 0-0 3-5 15 0 0 2 11 - -
Dennis Schroder * 26 3-9 2-6 6-6 1 4 0 0 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 24 3-5 2-2 3-4 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma 21 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Montrezl Harrell 18 3-6 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Ben McLemore 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 12 0-1 0-1 3-3 1 2 1 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 38 11-23 2-9 4-4 5 12 2 1 28 - -
Justin Holiday * 34 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Oshae Brissett * 29 2-7 0-4 1-2 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Goga Bitadze * 29 3-8 1-3 3-6 7 1 0 4 10 - -
Doug McDermott * 24 6-9 1-3 4-5 4 1 0 0 17 - -
T.J. McConnell 30 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 9 4 1 8 - -
Kelan Martin 26 6-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 3 2 15 - -
JaKarr Sampson 20 9-13 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 20 - -
Cassius Stanley 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter