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2021-05-15

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% -
Log Adjusted 45.5% 54.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (125-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 40 11-24 4-8 4-7 5 4 3 1 30 - -
Naji Marshall * 35 7-15 1-3 5-6 13 3 0 0 20 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 10 - -
James Johnson * 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 15 5-9 0-0 1-2 1 4 0 1 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 30 5-11 3-7 1-2 6 2 1 1 14 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 28 2-9 0-1 3-3 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 24 7-14 0-2 5-8 8 0 0 0 19 - -
Didi Louzada 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 6 - -
James Nunnally 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mychal Mulder * 34 10-17 7-13 1-1 2 1 1 1 28 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 33 3-7 1-4 2-2 9 9 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Poole * 33 12-22 4-9 10-11 4 6 0 1 38 - -
Kent Bazemore * 32 6-12 1-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 21 2-4 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 0 7 - -
Nico Mannion 32 3-12 2-6 3-3 8 7 0 0 11 - -
Alen Smailagic 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Eric Paschall 18 4-5 1-1 3-5 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Bell 14 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 2 1 - -

* = starter