🐻⬇️🏀

Toronto Raptors 110
@
Dallas Mavericks 114
2021-05-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 37 11-21 3-8 1-2 6 5 2 0 26 - -
Freddie Gillespie * 36 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 4 - -
Jalen Harris * 36 12-21 5-12 2-3 2 4 1 0 31 - -
Khem Birch * 35 5-12 1-6 2-2 6 1 0 2 13 - -
Stanley Johnson * 34 5-16 2-6 3-3 10 1 1 0 15 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 37 3-7 0-3 2-4 7 6 1 1 8 - -
Aron Baynes 21 5-6 2-3 1-1 6 1 1 1 13 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 34 7-19 1-8 5-5 10 11 0 1 20 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 9-19 3-5 0-0 10 2 0 0 21 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 27 6-8 4-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Dwight Powell * 26 1-3 0-0 5-6 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 25 1-11 1-8 4-4 1 4 2 0 7 - -
Jalen Brunson 24 8-11 3-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 19 - -
Nicolo Melli 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Josh Richardson 20 2-7 2-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Burke 11 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -

* = starter