Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -13 (91-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Howard * | 33 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 35 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson * | 33 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 5-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deividas Sirvydis | 19 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter