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2021-05-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - ✓
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +1 (118-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 42 16-23 2-6 7-8 5 5 1 0 41 - -
Norman Powell * 40 4-9 2-3 2-2 4 3 2 0 12 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 11-19 5-9 0-0 1 6 0 0 27 - -
Robert Covington * 36 5-10 4-8 2-4 4 4 2 0 16 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 3-7 0-0 1-2 8 3 2 1 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 21 1-7 1-5 2-2 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Enes Kanter 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 6 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 40 4-13 2-8 0-0 8 2 1 2 10 - -
Mikal Bridges * 40 6-9 3-5 6-6 11 2 1 0 21 - -
Devin Booker * 35 5-17 0-4 8-8 5 2 0 0 18 - -
Chris Paul * 32 11-14 2-2 2-2 0 7 0 0 26 - -
Dario Saric * 30 4-12 1-4 3-6 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne 27 8-12 3-3 2-2 6 5 1 1 21 - -
Torrey Craig 15 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Frank Kaminsky 13 0-6 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter