Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 14-21 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 30 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 18 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 17 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 39 | 6-18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 9-12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter