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2021-05-14

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 ✓ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - ✓
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Johnson * 43 12-22 6-13 5-7 10 5 3 0 35 - -
Malachi Flynn * 41 5-19 2-10 4-6 4 7 1 0 16 - -
Khem Birch * 28 6-13 1-2 1-3 5 2 2 0 14 - -
Jalen Harris * 27 7-12 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 17 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 39 6-11 0-2 0-0 2 6 4 1 12 - -
Freddie Gillespie 30 1-4 0-0 0-1 5 0 3 0 2 - -
Aron Baynes 20 3-6 0-2 0-1 4 3 0 0 6 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 41 7-12 3-7 0-0 5 10 1 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 8-15 3-7 5-6 5 2 0 0 24 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 7-19 2-7 0-0 16 6 0 0 16 - -
Thaddeus Young * 28 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 7 0 1 10 - -
Patrick Williams * 18 3-8 1-3 2-4 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Garrett Temple 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Lauri Markkanen 25 7-10 6-9 0-0 7 2 1 1 20 - -
Tomas Satoransky 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 12 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 10 - -

* = starter