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2021-05-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% -
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +23 (116-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 4-11 0-2 4-6 11 0 0 1 12 - -
Cole Anthony * 23 5-12 1-3 1-2 7 6 1 0 12 - -
Moritz Wagner * 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Gary Harris * 19 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 19 2-9 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 31 7-15 4-5 0-0 8 5 0 1 18 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 26 4-14 1-7 0-0 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 24 2-7 1-4 1-2 6 5 0 0 6 - -
Chasson Randle 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 4 0 1 1 9 - -
Donta Hall 20 4-4 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 11 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 26 9-12 4-7 5-5 3 5 2 0 27 - -
Clint Capela * 26 5-11 0-0 4-6 14 0 2 0 14 - -
Trae Young * 25 7-14 0-5 4-4 0 7 0 0 18 - -
Solomon Hill * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
John Collins * 20 4-9 4-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 12 - -
Kevin Huerter 26 6-12 2-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 14 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 3-10 1-4 3-3 4 1 0 1 10 - -
Lou Williams 18 2-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 15 1-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Brandon Goodwin 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 5 - -
Nathan Knight 5 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Skylar Mays 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter