Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (133-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 14-18 | 1-1 | 11-16 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. McConnell * | 44 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 38 | 9-14 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 27 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 27 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 26 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 26 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 19 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter