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2021-05-13

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% -
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (124-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 37 7-10 3-5 3-6 10 2 0 3 20 - -
Khyri Thomas * 37 2-12 0-4 0-0 3 11 1 0 4 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 25 6-11 4-6 8-10 6 8 2 0 24 - -
D.J. Augustin * 23 2-7 1-5 3-3 0 4 1 0 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 22 6-10 3-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Armoni Brooks 36 9-18 4-11 2-3 6 1 1 0 24 - -
Anthony Lamb 34 4-7 1-3 0-0 9 4 1 0 9 - -
Cameron Oliver 22 7-10 2-5 1-3 2 1 1 1 17 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Talen Horton-Tucker * 36 9-16 0-3 5-8 2 10 2 0 23 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 4-5 1-1 1-1 4 1 1 1 10 - -
Wesley Matthews * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Markieff Morris * 22 5-12 2-4 2-2 4 4 0 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 9-13 0-0 2-5 10 2 0 1 20 - -
Kyle Kuzma 32 8-12 1-3 2-5 10 7 1 1 19 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 8-14 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 16 - -
Ben McLemore 25 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 16 4-8 1-3 1-1 5 0 2 0 10 - -
Devontae Cacok 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter