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2021-05-12

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Log Adjusted 43.0% 57.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (101-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Bullock * 45 2-9 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Julius Randle * 43 11-26 4-8 5-5 8 5 0 0 31 - -
RJ Barrett * 37 2-13 0-7 4-6 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Nerlens Noel * 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Elfrid Payton * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Derrick Rose 38 10-22 1-4 6-6 6 6 3 1 27 - -
Taj Gibson 28 2-3 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Frank Ntilikina 23 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 9 - -
Obi Toppin 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 43 8-23 0-1 4-5 6 4 1 0 20 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 40 2-9 2-6 2-2 7 7 1 2 8 - -
Andre Drummond * 35 6-11 0-0 4-7 18 3 0 2 16 - -
Wesley Matthews * 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 34 4-9 2-2 3-3 5 10 2 0 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma 32 9-17 4-8 1-1 3 0 1 0 23 - -
Ben McLemore 20 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Marc Gasol 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 4 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Markieff Morris 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter