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2021-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +16 (122-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 35 3-13 2-7 10-12 5 5 0 0 18 15 -
Aleksej Pokusevski * 32 4-8 2-4 0-2 3 2 0 1 10 8 -
Kenrich Williams * 32 8-15 4-5 0-0 2 4 4 2 20 17 -
Moses Brown * 27 3-7 0-0 4-8 13 0 1 1 10 18 -
Isaiah Roby * 26 3-8 0-2 3-4 7 2 1 1 9 12 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 7-14 0-4 0-0 3 3 3 0 14 9 -
Gabriel Deck 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
Tony Bradley 16 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 10 10 -
Jaylen Hoard 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 7 -
Charlie Brown Jr. 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 4 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Harkless * 33 5-12 2-7 3-5 4 3 1 3 15 14 -
Delon Wright * 33 8-11 5-7 0-0 4 8 4 0 21 26 -
Buddy Hield * 30 8-15 5-11 0-0 3 6 1 0 21 16 -
Chimezie Metu * 29 4-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 2 1 11 15 -
Richaun Holmes * 26 4-6 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 0 13 16 -
Terence Davis 31 9-15 5-7 4-4 5 3 2 0 27 22 -
Damian Jones 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 6 9 -
Justin James 13 2-9 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 6 2 -
Louis King 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 -
Kyle Guy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter