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2021-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 49.9% 50.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (122-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 11-21 4-9 8-9 7 4 0 0 34 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 6 - -
Chris Paul * 32 9-17 2-7 4-4 3 10 1 1 24 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 31 6-10 6-10 2-3 4 2 1 0 20 - -
Torrey Craig 23 2-5 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 8 - -
Cameron Payne 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 6 1 1 7 - -
Frank Kaminsky 16 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Jevon Carter 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 39 17-24 2-6 2-3 7 3 1 0 38 - -
Draymond Green * 37 4-7 1-2 2-2 10 11 4 0 11 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 7-22 1-11 6-6 3 6 1 0 21 - -
Kent Bazemore * 30 7-12 2-5 1-2 3 2 2 0 17 - -
Kevon Looney * 23 1-4 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 30 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 6 0 1 7 - -
Mychal Mulder 20 2-10 1-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Poole 20 6-10 3-7 5-5 4 0 0 0 20 - -

* = starter