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2021-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.9% 72.1% -
Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -
Points Off/Def 17.4% 82.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 3-11 0-2 2-2 14 4 0 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony * 30 8-16 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 18 - -
Gary Harris * 28 5-15 3-7 1-1 0 2 1 0 14 - -
Moritz Wagner * 27 6-13 2-4 3-4 13 1 0 0 17 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 26 2-7 0-3 1-4 7 4 1 0 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 24 5-12 0-1 1-2 4 5 0 0 11 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 20 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Chasson Randle 17 4-8 1-4 3-3 1 0 1 1 12 - -
Donta Hall 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 5-15 1-4 4-4 4 2 2 0 15 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 11-18 0-3 5-8 12 5 3 0 27 - -
Khris Middleton * 29 3-15 0-5 5-6 7 5 0 0 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 28 7-12 3-7 2-2 2 2 1 0 19 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 7-14 1-5 2-3 6 0 1 0 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 9 1 1 0 3 - -
Bobby Portis 20 4-11 0-1 2-4 15 1 1 1 10 - -
P.J. Tucker 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
Bryn Forbes 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Jeff Teague 8 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Nwora 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter