Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +29 (133-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 25 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 24 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 24 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 25 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter