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2021-05-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (140-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 38 5-9 3-3 2-2 9 4 2 1 15 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 30 3-11 0-4 6-6 7 8 0 0 12 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 28 5-12 1-2 10-10 8 6 2 0 21 - -
D.J. Augustin * 25 6-10 4-6 5-6 2 2 0 0 21 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 13 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Khyri Thomas 29 6-15 2-7 4-4 4 5 0 0 18 - -
Armoni Brooks 24 6-9 6-9 0-0 3 1 0 1 18 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Oliver 19 6-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Anthony Lamb 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 35 8-17 6-10 6-8 3 7 1 0 28 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 11-20 6-11 6-6 9 6 0 0 34 - -
Norman Powell * 34 9-17 3-8 7-9 6 4 1 0 28 - -
Robert Covington * 31 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 2 6 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 10-14 0-1 2-2 6 5 3 1 22 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 23 4-6 0-1 3-3 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 1-6 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Enes Kanter 17 2-5 0-0 2-5 10 2 0 1 6 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
T.J. Leaf 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keljin Blevins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter