Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +21 (146-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 10-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 29 | 11-16 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 26 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter