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2021-05-11

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 34 5-7 2-2 0-0 8 3 1 2 12 - -
Naji Marshall * 30 5-13 1-2 1-2 11 2 3 1 12 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 29 4-12 0-2 3-5 5 5 1 1 11 - -
James Johnson * 28 4-10 0-2 5-6 7 5 1 0 13 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 24 6-14 0-0 3-6 8 4 0 0 15 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 8-16 2-7 0-0 3 6 1 0 18 - -
Jaxson Hayes 23 5-10 3-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 19 3-6 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 18 3-7 0-2 2-2 0 2 2 0 8 - -
Wes Iwundu 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 5-14 2-6 0-5 3 12 1 0 12 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 9-21 1-5 4-6 4 2 2 0 23 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 3-8 1-2 7-9 4 4 0 4 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 4-8 1-5 3-3 7 1 1 4 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 9-12 0-0 2-2 11 2 0 5 20 - -
Desmond Bane 19 2-6 2-5 0-1 3 5 0 1 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 4-6 0-2 0-1 4 0 2 3 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 2 1 5 - -
John Konchar 14 4-5 1-2 0-0 8 1 0 1 9 - -
Tyus Jones 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter