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2021-05-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% -
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -9 (102-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 38 8-15 1-3 4-6 20 9 2 4 21 - -
Caris LeVert * 37 8-19 2-4 2-2 3 10 1 1 20 - -
Oshae Brissett * 22 3-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 2 8 - -
Doug McDermott * 17 6-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Edmond Sumner * 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 28 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 7 2 0 10 - -
Justin Holiday 27 3-6 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 3 11 - -
Kelan Martin 25 11-16 3-4 0-0 7 0 0 1 25 - -
Aaron Holiday 20 0-5 0-4 1-2 1 3 2 0 1 - -
Goga Bitadze 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Okoro * 42 8-20 3-8 3-4 10 4 1 0 22 - -
Dean Wade * 37 6-13 3-8 4-5 12 2 3 0 19 - -
Collin Sexton * 36 7-26 1-6 10-12 5 8 1 0 25 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 4-6 1-1 3-4 9 3 0 1 12 - -
Damyean Dotson * 25 2-6 2-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Brodric Thomas 33 2-8 0-4 1-2 6 3 1 1 5 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 15 3-8 2-4 1-1 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Jeremiah Martin 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter