Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✗ (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -27 (97-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 27 | 9-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 25 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 12 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 32 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 25 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anderson Varejao | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Martin | 7 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter