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2021-05-09

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 33 8-17 3-9 5-10 4 11 2 0 24 24 -
James Johnson * 30 7-13 2-4 1-4 8 0 3 0 17 15 -
Lonzo Ball * 30 4-14 4-11 0-0 3 6 0 0 12 7 -
Naji Marshall * 27 6-12 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 13 4 -
Willy Hernangomez * 21 4-8 0-0 1-2 16 1 2 1 9 21 -
Jaxson Hayes 26 8-11 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 6 18 22 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 5-11 2-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 13 10 -
Wenyen Gabriel 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 8 -
Wes Iwundu 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 1 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 41 16-26 7-11 4-4 5 4 1 0 43 27 -
P.J. Washington * 36 6-16 2-6 0-0 12 2 1 1 14 14 -
LaMelo Ball * 31 10-19 2-5 0-3 4 5 2 0 22 14 -
Bismack Biyombo * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 0 10 -
Jalen McDaniels * 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 2 -
Brad Wanamaker 23 0-2 0-0 4-4 2 4 1 0 4 9 -
Caleb Martin 22 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
Malik Monk 22 2-10 1-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 0 -
Cody Zeller 22 6-9 0-0 5-7 8 1 1 1 17 19 -

* = starter