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2021-05-09

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 ✗ (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +22 (124-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 30 6-15 0-0 8-8 2 4 2 0 20 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 28 7-14 4-6 0-0 8 1 0 0 18 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 6 - -
Dejounte Murray * 27 7-16 0-3 1-2 4 5 0 0 15 - -
Keldon Johnson * 23 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Rudy Gay 21 3-11 2-8 3-4 4 2 1 2 11 - -
Devin Vassell 21 4-5 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 9 - -
Patty Mills 20 2-10 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Tre Jones 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Luka Samanic 6 2-4 0-1 3-3 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 5 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 32 10-21 4-9 3-4 5 2 1 1 27 - -
Damian Lillard * 31 8-17 4-9 10-10 4 8 0 0 30 - -
Norman Powell * 30 6-13 2-5 4-4 6 1 0 0 18 - -
Robert Covington * 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 11 1 1 1 3 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 20 8-15 0-0 1-4 9 5 0 1 17 - -
Anfernee Simons 27 3-8 1-4 2-2 6 0 0 1 9 - -
Enes Kanter 21 1-5 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 1 4 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Harry Giles III 5 0-2 0-1 0-2 5 2 0 1 0 - -
CJ Elleby 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
T.J. Leaf 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Keljin Blevins 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter