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2021-05-09

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 ✓ (35.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.0% 78.0% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +39 (136-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 27 4-12 0-3 3-5 5 3 1 0 11 - -
Luguentz Dort * 24 5-13 3-7 3-4 4 1 0 0 16 - -
Isaiah Roby * 22 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Theo Maledon * 22 4-12 2-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Moses Brown * 19 2-8 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 1 6 - -
Josh Hall 25 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 25 7-16 2-7 1-2 4 2 3 0 17 - -
Jaylen Hoard 24 5-11 0-3 3-4 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Kenrich Williams 20 6-9 1-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 13 - -
Gabriel Deck 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 - -
Charlie Brown Jr. 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 30 5-8 3-4 2-2 5 13 2 0 15 - -
Stephen Curry * 29 14-26 11-21 10-10 5 2 1 0 49 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 24 8-13 1-4 1-2 3 4 0 1 18 - -
Kent Bazemore * 24 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 12 1 0 1 3 - -
Jordan Poole 33 6-10 4-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 31 5-9 2-6 0-0 9 5 2 1 12 - -
Mychal Mulder 21 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Nico Mannion 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Alen Smailagic 8 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter