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2021-05-09

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -6 (119-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 40 9-14 3-6 12-13 11 7 2 2 33 - -
Kyrie Irving * 39 11-17 4-7 5-6 0 4 1 1 31 - -
Joe Harris * 33 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 8 - -
Blake Griffin * 27 8-10 4-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 20 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Jeff Green 25 5-8 3-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 15 - -
Landry Shamet 21 1-4 0-3 1-2 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Nicolas Claxton 13 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 2 1 4 - -
Mike James 10 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 1 2 0 6 - -
DeAndre Jordan 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 36 10-21 0-5 9-9 7 6 0 0 29 - -
Austin Rivers * 35 5-9 2-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 12 - -
Facundo Campazzo * 34 4-9 3-6 8-8 2 5 3 0 19 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 33 11-17 6-10 0-0 4 2 2 0 28 - -
JaMychal Green * 31 3-12 1-5 2-3 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Shaquille Harrison 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 1 2 - -
Vlatko Cancar 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Markus Howard 13 5-11 2-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Bol Bol 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter