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2021-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 3-7 0-1 6-8 7 6 1 0 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 36 9-15 0-1 0-0 21 1 1 4 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 36 5-11 2-4 2-3 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Kyle Anderson * 31 4-9 2-6 6-8 5 5 0 0 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 7-17 3-10 3-3 4 2 3 1 20 - -
Desmond Bane 21 4-9 2-6 0-0 3 3 0 2 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 5-10 5-10 0-0 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 16 0-3 0-2 2-4 8 1 1 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
John Konchar 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 5-20 2-8 6-8 6 1 1 0 18 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 8-21 0-4 2-4 3 4 0 0 18 - -
Khem Birch * 26 4-11 0-1 2-3 6 4 1 1 10 - -
Malachi Flynn * 25 6-11 3-6 0-0 7 3 1 0 15 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 24 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Jalen Harris 29 5-12 2-6 4-4 6 4 1 0 16 - -
Freddie Gillespie 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 6 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 - -
Rodney Hood 13 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson 12 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter