Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 11-22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 23 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 38 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 32 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter