🐻⬇️🏀

Los Angeles Lakers 101
@
Portland Trail Blazers 106
2021-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 ✗ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 12-23 2-3 10-15 12 5 0 1 36 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 38 5-9 1-4 6-7 4 5 0 1 17 - -
Alex Caruso * 34 8-16 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 18 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 2-11 0-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 - -
Ben McLemore 23 2-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Marc Gasol 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 1 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 17 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Markieff Morris 10 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 12-18 5-9 9-9 4 7 2 0 38 - -
Norman Powell * 38 6-18 3-8 4-4 2 1 1 1 19 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 7-19 2-7 5-6 3 4 1 0 21 - -
Robert Covington * 37 1-10 1-7 0-0 8 2 1 1 3 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 5-8 0-0 0-0 13 5 1 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Enes Kanter 16 4-8 0-1 2-2 10 0 0 0 10 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter