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2021-05-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 ✓ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +23 (128-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 8-22 5-11 2-2 8 3 0 0 23 - -
Reggie Bullock * 37 3-11 2-8 4-4 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Julius Randle * 33 8-16 1-5 7-9 11 4 0 0 24 - -
Nerlens Noel * 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Elfrid Payton * 17 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Derrick Rose 29 7-14 1-3 2-2 4 6 0 0 17 - -
Taj Gibson 24 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 2 11 - -
Frank Ntilikina 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 2 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Harper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Norvel Pelle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 36 5-10 4-6 2-2 4 0 1 1 16 - -
Devin Booker * 35 3-12 1-4 9-9 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 10-14 0-0 6-6 15 1 1 1 26 - -
Chris Paul * 29 6-11 2-3 3-4 6 11 0 0 17 - -
Torrey Craig * 28 3-10 1-6 0-0 6 2 1 0 7 - -
Jae Crowder 23 6-13 6-12 0-0 2 3 0 1 18 - -
Cameron Payne 20 5-10 3-3 2-2 1 3 2 0 15 - -
Frank Kaminsky 18 4-7 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Jevon Carter 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Dario Saric 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Langston Galloway 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter