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@
Utah Jazz 127
2021-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 80.8% 19.2% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Utah Jazz +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Porter Jr. * 38 10-19 4-9 7-7 6 1 2 0 31 - -
Nikola Jokic * 35 9-11 2-2 4-4 9 13 0 1 24 - -
Facundo Campazzo * 33 2-10 1-7 0-0 8 9 1 0 5 - -
Aaron Gordon * 30 5-9 0-3 0-1 6 1 1 0 10 - -
Paul Millsap * 26 7-10 2-4 3-4 1 2 1 0 19 - -
Austin Rivers 26 6-10 5-7 1-2 2 3 1 0 18 - -
JaMychal Green 20 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Shaquille Harrison 16 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 1 4 - -
JaVale McGee 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 39 16-23 8-11 8-8 8 2 2 0 48 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 5-9 0-0 4-4 9 2 1 2 14 - -
Joe Ingles * 34 3-9 2-6 2-2 3 9 1 0 10 - -
Royce O'Neale * 28 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 7 - -
Georges Niang * 24 5-10 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Jordan Clarkson 37 6-20 6-14 3-6 5 8 2 0 21 - -
Trent Forrest 16 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 6 - -
Derrick Favors 12 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 6 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Miye Oni 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter