Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +20 (110-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 36 | 8-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 17 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Martin | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anderson Varejao | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 23 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter