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2021-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 38 11-18 6-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 28 - -
Trae Young * 35 10-19 2-6 8-8 4 10 0 1 30 - -
Clint Capela * 30 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 10 - -
John Collins * 29 10-15 2-5 3-5 7 0 1 1 25 - -
Tony Snell * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Huerter 29 3-10 2-5 0-0 1 6 2 2 8 - -
Danilo Gallinari 28 5-12 2-7 3-4 7 3 3 1 15 - -
Lou Williams 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 7 - -
Solomon Hill 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 41 12-14 3-3 3-5 8 9 1 0 30 - -
Caris LeVert * 40 12-20 2-3 5-5 3 12 2 3 31 - -
Aaron Holiday * 31 6-9 1-2 2-2 4 5 2 0 15 - -
Doug McDermott * 28 6-12 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Oshae Brissett * 23 3-7 0-3 4-4 8 0 2 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 25 9-12 0-2 1-1 2 5 4 0 19 - -
Justin Holiday 23 3-4 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Goga Bitadze 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Kelan Martin 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter