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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 38 17-31 7-13 4-4 5 4 4 2 45 - -
Kevin Durant * 35 7-21 0-4 6-6 9 3 1 1 20 - -
Joe Harris * 33 3-9 2-6 1-1 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Blake Griffin * 27 4-10 2-4 0-0 10 3 1 0 10 - -
Landry Shamet * 24 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Bruce Brown 23 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Jeff Green 21 3-7 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Nicolas Claxton 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 - -
Mike James 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 38 6-11 3-6 2-4 8 3 0 0 17 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 37 8-16 4-8 3-4 6 2 0 0 23 - -
Luka Doncic * 35 7-22 5-13 5-10 10 8 2 0 24 - -
Josh Richardson * 29 4-10 2-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 10 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 2 6 - -
Dwight Powell 27 4-4 0-0 4-4 10 5 1 1 12 - -
Jalen Brunson 25 6-10 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Trey Burke 11 0-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Green 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Nicolo Melli 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter