Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 27 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 15 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Norvel Pelle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jared Harper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Campazzo * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 28 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter