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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% -
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% -
Points Off/Def 69.8% 30.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (115-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 26 5-10 1-2 4-4 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 24 10-17 0-2 14-16 12 2 0 1 34 - -
Ben Simmons * 24 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Danny Green * 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 8 1 1 0 9 - -
Seth Curry * 21 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Shake Milton 23 8-17 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 2 19 - -
Tyrese Maxey 22 4-9 2-4 2-2 4 7 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 3 3 5 - -
George Hill 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 2 - -
Dwight Howard 15 5-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Joe 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Mike Scott 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Paul Reed 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Tolliver 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 44 10-17 2-4 1-1 10 6 0 2 23 - -
DaQuan Jeffries * 40 2-10 0-4 1-1 6 3 2 0 5 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 39 9-16 3-6 6-8 11 8 1 3 27 - -
Avery Bradley * 25 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 23 6-13 2-5 2-4 1 5 0 0 16 - -
Anthony Lamb 35 7-15 4-9 4-4 5 2 1 0 22 - -
Armoni Brooks 30 7-16 6-14 0-0 2 1 1 0 20 - -

* = starter