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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -11 (93-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 39 6-16 4-11 0-0 8 8 2 0 16 - -
Delon Wright * 39 8-14 3-5 4-4 7 6 6 1 23 - -
Maurice Harkless * 35 4-8 0-2 0-0 5 2 3 0 8 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 34 13-22 0-1 5-8 12 0 0 0 31 - -
Richaun Holmes * 31 6-11 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 2 12 - -
Terence Davis 19 4-12 1-8 1-2 6 2 1 2 10 - -
Damian Jones 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 - -
Kyle Guy 8 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Justin James 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Louis King 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 7-9 0-1 3-3 13 8 2 0 17 - -
Caris LeVert * 29 5-18 2-3 2-4 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Doug McDermott * 27 3-4 1-2 4-4 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday * 27 2-9 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 5 - -
Oshae Brissett * 23 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 5-10 0-1 1-2 3 7 3 0 11 - -
Goga Bitadze 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 2 5 - -
Justin Holiday 18 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 3 8 - -
Kelan Martin 18 5-9 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Cassius Stanley 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Amida Brimah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter