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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 (33.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +32 (135-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 31 11-20 1-2 7-8 3 5 0 0 30 - -
Mikal Bridges * 28 6-9 2-3 4-4 3 0 1 1 18 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 1 7 - -
Chris Paul * 23 3-11 1-2 2-2 2 6 1 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig * 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 20 2-6 2-4 2-2 1 3 1 1 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 1-9 0-6 0-0 2 0 3 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Frank Kaminsky 12 2-2 2-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Langston Galloway 8 1-3 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 8 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Dario Saric 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 8 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 26 6-12 0-3 4-4 2 12 1 0 16 - -
John Collins * 23 3-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Clint Capela * 23 8-11 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 2 18 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 23 6-11 4-6 0-0 1 6 2 2 16 - -
Tony Snell * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Huerter 25 5-8 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 7-9 1-2 1-2 5 4 1 0 16 - -
Solomon Hill 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Lou Williams 19 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 6-7 0-0 2-2 7 2 3 1 14 - -
Brandon Goodwin 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Nathan Knight 3 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Skylar Mays 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kris Dunn 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter