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2021-05-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% -
Margin 80.6% 19.4% -7.8 (28.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -36 (96-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 30 10-22 4-12 3-3 7 3 2 2 27 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 9 1 1 3 - -
Evan Fournier * 28 8-14 2-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 18 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 11-18 6-9 4-5 3 4 1 0 32 - -
Robert Williams III * 21 4-5 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 2 8 - -
Aaron Nesmith 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 5-8 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Semi Ojeleye 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Luke Kornet 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 7 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Tremont Waters 5 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 4 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Bamba * 30 5-11 1-7 8-10 15 1 3 4 19 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 29 10-18 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 20 - -
Moritz Wagner * 25 4-8 3-5 9-9 4 0 2 1 20 - -
Gary Harris * 23 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Cole Anthony * 21 2-10 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 - -
R.J. Hampton 31 6-14 1-2 5-7 10 5 0 0 18 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 30 3-9 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Chasson Randle 26 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 - -

* = starter