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2021-05-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: LA Clippers +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 10-24 5-14 2-3 2 13 2 1 27 - -
Pascal Siakam * 41 10-24 1-5 3-4 7 2 3 0 24 - -
Stanley Johnson * 32 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 1 5 - -
Khem Birch * 31 6-10 0-1 1-2 8 0 0 0 13 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 30 2-6 2-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 6 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Freddie Gillespie 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 13 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Jalen Harris 13 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Rodney Hood 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 34 8-16 2-7 4-5 9 4 0 1 22 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 33 3-6 1-2 6-6 3 5 0 0 13 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 33 8-11 4-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 22 - -
Reggie Jackson * 33 7-17 4-9 0-0 5 5 1 0 18 - -
Ivica Zubac * 30 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 19 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 7 - -
Rajon Rondo 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 5 3 0 0 - -
Patrick Beverley 14 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 8 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 14 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Terance Mann 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter