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2021-05-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 62.0% 38.0% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 10-21 5-10 1-1 6 3 0 2 26 16 -
Stephen Curry * 37 13-31 8-20 3-3 9 2 3 0 37 20 -
Draymond Green * 36 3-6 1-2 0-1 12 9 1 2 7 25 -
Kevon Looney * 32 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 8 12 -
Kent Bazemore * 29 2-10 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 5 1 -
Mychal Mulder 27 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 0 2 0 8 5 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 6 4 1 1 3 12 -
Jordan Poole 13 3-9 2-7 1-2 2 2 0 1 9 5 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 37 8-17 0-0 7-8 12 7 4 0 23 29 -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 5-11 2-5 2-2 5 4 0 0 14 12 -
Lonzo Ball * 33 11-23 7-13 4-4 6 4 1 0 33 21 -
Brandon Ingram * 25 5-15 3-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 13 8 -
Steven Adams * 23 0-3 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 1 9 -
Naji Marshall 23 4-9 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 10 11 -
Jaxson Hayes 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 8 12 -
James Johnson 23 2-5 0-2 2-4 5 2 1 1 6 10 -
James Nunnally 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 6 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -

* = starter